It just depends. In 2 years you could put a hell of a lot of muscle on your frame. Do you have broad shoulders and small joints/waist? It's really an illusion thing. I gauge my progress by the mirror, not fat calipers or a measuring tape. In a real life show, they don't bodyfat test you, you are judged by appearance and presentation.
At your age with 2 years of dedicated lifting and dieting you could easily come in at 185 I would think. Gonna take a lot of work and sacrifice though!
whether you think you can or whether you think you can't, you're right! ~Henry Ford~